Iran’s Resilience Against Sanctions, Revisited
Seven years of American economic pressure have not broken Iran. The events of 2025–2026 show why. When the United States withdrew from the nuclear deal in May 2018 and reimposed…
Latest Analysis
All Quiet on the North-Eastern Front? Turkmenistan’s Neutrality Policy Challenged by the Iran Conflict
The Iran War, now in its third week, continues to dramatically affect countries bordering Iran and the wider Middle East.…
Chaharshanbe Suri: Iran’s Regime Faces a Fiery Festival
On 17 March, Iranians will gather to celebrate the festival of Chaharshanbe Suri, or sometimes known as “the fire festival“.…
Hezbollah’s Gamble: How a Radical Militant Group May Have Made Israel–Lebanon Normalization Possible
History is replete with ironies, but few are as exquisite as this one. The organisation that did more than any…
Inflation in Turkey: The Price of Ankara’s Cheap-Credit Era
On March 12th the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey left its one-week repo rate (its main policy rate)…
The Ayatollah’s New Clothes: Where Is Mojtaba Khamenei?
Since being named Iran’s third Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei has not appeared in public. He has spoken to no one,…
Military AI: When the Future of Tech Meets the Power of the State
For an industry that enjoys speaking in the accents of moral philosophy, America’s frontier-AI business is learning the language of…
Oil, War and the Strait of Hormuz: The Economic Stakes of the Iran Conflict
Wars are usually measured on maps. Economists begin with choke-points. The war with Iran has turned the Strait of Hormuz…
From Silence to Asylum: How Iran’s Women Footballers Turned The Pitch into a Protest Stage
The image of the Iran women’s footballers lasted only a moment. As the team bus pulled away from Gold Coast…
The Unsinkable Aircraft Carrier and a Shifting Balance of Power
Cyprus lies well beyond the Middle East’s battlefields, yet it has been drawn into the conflict between Israel, the United…
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Can a House Divided Stand? Fractures Widen Within Iran’s Ruling Elite Over the US-Iran Agreement
The issue of the US-Iran agreement reflects a deeper struggle over the Islamic Republic’s identity, the balance of power between…
The Hijra and the Courage to Embrace Change
With the arrival of a new Hijri year and the first day of Muharram, Muslims around the world are reminded…
The Gulf’s Reckoning
The Gulf has discovered — at grievous cost — that it cannot stand apart from a war being fought, in…