Iran: War, Succession and an Uncertain Future
Something has shifted in the Middle East over the past 24 hours that goes beyond the now-familiar exchange of missiles between Iran and Israel. What is unfolding in the war…
Latest Analysis
Strategic Patience or Wilful Bystander? Examining the Houthi Hesitancy towards Iran
Nearly a month into the armed confrontation between Iran and its American and Israeli adversaries, a widening cast of Middle…
Is Iran’s Military Fracturing? Signs of Strain in War with the US and Israel
As the war between Iran, the United States and Israel continue, one of the most consequential and contested questions is…
Turkey’s Soft Power in Action: Conquering hearts through Culture, Aid, and Religion
In the 21st century, power is no longer measured solely in jet fighters or trade deals. Perceptions, narratives, and humanitarian…
All Quiet on the Northeastern Front? Turkmenistan’s Neutrality Policy Challenged by the Iran Conflict
The Iran war, now in its third week, continues to dramatically affect countries bordering Iran and the wider Middle East.…
Chaharshanbe Suri: Iran’s regime faces a fiery festival
On March 17, Iranians will gather to celebrate the festival of Chaharshanbe Suri, or sometimes known as “the fire festival.”…
Hezbollah’s Gamble: How a Radical Militant Group May Have Made Israel–Lebanon Normalization Possible
History is replete with ironies, but few are as exquisite as this one. The organisation that did more than any…
Inflation in Turkey: The Price of Ankara’s Cheap-Credit Era
On March 12th the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey left its one-week repo rate (its main policy rate)…
The Ayatollah’s New Clothes: Where Is Mojtaba Khamenei?
Since being named Iran’s third Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei has not appeared in public. He has spoken to no one,…
Military AI: When the Future of Tech Meets the Power of the State
For an industry that enjoys speaking in the accents of moral philosophy, America’s frontier-AI business is learning the language of…
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The Gulf’s reckoning
For decades, the Gulf states perfected a delicate policy: keeping one foot in the American security umbrella while extending the…
The Ayatollah’s New Clothes: Where Is Mojtaba Khamenei?
Since being named Iran’s third Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei has not appeared in public. He has spoken to no one,…
Will Iran’s Pillars Hold Under Pressure?
Iran teeters on the edge. Waves of protests have swept the country, sanctions are tightening, the currency is sliding, rivers…