Middle East Disorder and Turkey’s Strategic Opportunity
If American and Israeli pressure on Iran intensifies to the point of destabilising the Islamic Republic itself, Turkey may emerge as the…
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Category: Geopolitics
Al-Qaeda’s Attempted Takeover of Mali: Today a Blow to Russia, Tomorrow a Global Threat
The offensive exposes significant Russian vulnerabilities in protecting its Malian client. Russian setbacks in West Africa should not, however, be a cause…
Sudan’s Civil War Risks Regional Spread Amid Global Indifference
A drone strike on a hospital levelled the facility and killed 70 medical professionals and patients, including children. Around two million people…
Courting a Divided Libya: Foreign Powers Eye Energy Security in Fractured North African State
Libya emerged from the Arab Spring as one of the most battered states in the region, making headlines for all the wrong…
Strategic Patience or Wilful Bystander? Examining the Houthi Hesitancy towards Iran
Nearly a month into the armed confrontation between Iran and its American and Israeli adversaries, a widening cast of Middle Eastern and…
All Quiet on the North-Eastern Front? Turkmenistan’s Neutrality Policy Challenged by the Iran Conflict
The Iran War, now in its third week, continues to dramatically affect countries bordering Iran and the wider Middle East. The regime…
Hezbollah’s Gamble: How a Radical Militant Group May Have Made Israel–Lebanon Normalization Possible
History is replete with ironies, but few are as exquisite as this one. The organisation that did more than any other to…
The Ayatollah’s New Clothes: Where Is Mojtaba Khamenei?
Since being named Iran’s third Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei has not appeared in public. He has spoken to no one, appeared to…
Oil, War and the Strait of Hormuz: The Economic Stakes of the Iran Conflict
Wars are usually measured on maps. Economists begin with choke-points. The war with Iran has turned the Strait of Hormuz into the…
The Unsinkable Aircraft Carrier and a Shifting Balance of Power
Cyprus lies well beyond the Middle East’s battlefields, yet it has been drawn into the conflict between Israel, the United States, and…