Courting a Divided Libya: Foreign Powers Eye Energy Security in Fractured North African State
An orderly Libya offers badly needed remedies for global energy markets, particularly for at-risk Europe. At a time of prolonged global energy…
Category
Category: Geopolitics
Strategic Patience or Wilful Bystander? Examining the Houthi Hesitancy Towards Iran
Although the Houthis became part of a wide-ranging alliance with Iran, they have persistently refused to become mere proxies without independence or…
All Quiet on the North-Eastern Front? Turkmenistan’s Neutrality Policy Challenged by the Iran Conflict
The Iran War, now in its third week, continues to dramatically affect countries bordering Iran and the wider Middle East. The regime…
Hezbollah’s Gamble: How a Radical Militant Group May Have Made Israel–Lebanon Normalization Possible
History is replete with ironies, but few are as exquisite as this one. The organisation that did more than any other to…
The Ayatollah’s New Clothes: Where Is Mojtaba Khamenei?
Since being named Iran’s third Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei has not appeared in public. He has spoken to no one, appeared to…
Oil, War and the Strait of Hormuz: The Economic Stakes of the Iran Conflict
Wars are usually measured on maps. Economists begin with choke-points. The war with Iran has turned the Strait of Hormuz into the…
The Unsinkable Aircraft Carrier and a Shifting Balance of Power
Cyprus lies well beyond the Middle East’s battlefields, yet it has been drawn into the conflict between Israel, the United States, and…
Loyalty vs Survival: Hezbollah’s Existential Gamble in the Iran Conflict
In early March 2026, Lebanon entered a perilous new chapter. The Iran conflict, which began between the United States, Israel, and Iran…
From Munich to Qamishli: Why Kurdish Power Risks Becoming Paper Promises
A century of reversals has taught Kurdish leaders a bitter lesson in politics. From the short-lived Republic of Mahabad to the hollowed-out…
The Sky Is No Longer Safe: How Iran’s Retaliation Shattered the Gulf’s Illusion of Insulation
For decades, the Gulf Arab states have operated under an unspoken assumption: that wars in the Middle East were things that happened…